The fundamental Expo theory dates back to my 1988 models and experience.  My hand graphs, originating in 1988, have been transformed into quantitative mathematical spreadsheets, with a few objective algorithms and trading rules.  The "track record" starts from 5/16/16.

      Expo T is a zeroed oscillator.  Expo T is similar to a combination of the McClellan Oscillator and Summation Indexes.   The signals posted here are from both absolute Expo % reversals, and trend change formulas.  The Expo T  signals are 100% numerical = objective.  Numbers IN, Signals OUT.

      Being exponentially based, the Expo T is a balance between being sensitive to current ETF price trends while filtering for low volatility jiggle (whips).

     That is it.  1) the algorithms generating the EMAs, Expo, and 2) the 2 Buy/Sell rules based on the Expo T values.  Expo T is a technical trading innovation--also, a work in progress, subject to revision.

     The tentative goal (projection) is for 20+/-% gain/year, unleveraged, reliably, steadily, with <3% maximum draw for the Expo T Composites.  Investing positions use liquid ETFs.

 

EQUITIES:               XIV,   NYSE,   DJT,   RSP,   NASX,  VGK,   VEU,  EWJ

BONDS:                  TLT, 

CORPORATE:          HYG

CURRENCIES:         FXE

GOLD (in USD):        GLD

OIL:                         USO                                                   

ExpO  Z    Exponential Oscillator Trends

   

11 - 20  1030cst:..GLD reversed

                                XIV,  NYSE, DJT, RSP, NASX,  VEU, VGK, EWJ,  FXE, GLD, USO,  TLT, HYG


Models:        ExpO T (days-weeks)    ExpO Z (days)    ExpO X  (10 minute)   ExpO XX (2 minute)

.  2017
 B / S
     $
 DATE
 TIME    
 % Last
  % YTD
 
  Model
     
 CST    
   
 XIV    S
 109.95
 11 - 17
  1455
 
 +  6.6
 ~ 170
    E XZ
 previous    B
 103.10
 11 - 15
  0900

 +  8.3
 ~ 163
 
  E XZ
 
  
 

 
  


  
 
 NYSE    S 
 12385
 11 - 1
  1030
   +  1.1
 ~  26
    
  E Z
 DJT    S
   9750
 11 - 1
  1030
 
 +  1.3
 ~  33
 
  E Z
 RSP    S
  96.80
 11 - 1
  1030
   +  0.5
 ~  24
 
  E Z
 NASX
   S 
   6730
 11 - 1
  1030
 
 --  0.7
 ~  35
 
  E Z










 VEU    S
  54.04
 11 - 1
  1030

 +  0.8
 ~  28
 
  E Z
 VGK    S
  58.75
 11 - 1
  1030

 +  1.1
 ~  23
 
  E Z
 EWJ    S  
  59.16
 11 - 10
  0930

 +  7.9
 ~  26
  
  E Z 










 FXE
   B 
 111.95
 11 - 9
  0830

 +  3.3
 ~  14
  
  E T


 



  



 GLD    S
 122.00
 11 - 20
  1030
 new
 --  0.2
 ~  30
 
  E X

 
 
 
 
   
  

  
 
 USO
   B  
   11.21
 11 - 17
  0830
 
 +  1.8
 ~  48
 
  E X   
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
  
 
 TLT
   B
 124.10
 11 - 10
  1450

 +  1.9
 ~  17
 
  E Z
 HYG
   S
   88.53
 10 - 19
  1030

 --  0.3
 ~  11
 
  E Z