The fundamental Expo theory dates back to my 1988 models and experience.  My hand graphs, originating in 1988, have been transformed into quantitative mathematical spreadsheets, with a few objective algorithms and trading rules.  The "track record" starts from 5/16/16.

      The Expo's are zeroed oscillators.  They are similar to a combination of the McClellan Oscillator and Summation Indexes.   The signals posted here are from both absolute Expo % reversals, and trend change formulas.  The Expo signals are 100% numerical = objective.  Numbers IN, Signals OUT.

      Being exponentially based, and Weighted, the Expo's are a balance between being sensitive to current ETF price trends while filtering for low volatility jiggle (whips).

      That is it.  1) the algorithms generating the EMAs, Expo, and 2) the 2 Buy/Sell rules based on the Expo values.  The Expo's are a technical trading innovation--also, a work in progress, subject to revision.

      The tentative goal (projection) is for 20+/-% gain/year, unleveraged, reliably, steadily, with <5% maximum draw for each ETF & Index.


EQUITIES:               NYSE,  NASX,  SPY,   VEU

BONDS:                  TLT, 

CURRENCIES:         UUP

GOLD (in USD):        GLD

OIL:                         USO                                                   

ExpO  Z    Exponential Oscillator Trends

   

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For 2018:  SIMPLER and average signal duration ~2weeks

                               NYSE, NASX, SPY, VEU,   UUP,   GLD,  USO,  TLT


Models:        ExpO T (days-weeks)    ExpO Z (days)      ExpO X (30min data)

  2017
 B / S
     $
 DATE
 TIME    
 % Last
  % YTD
  2017  %
  ModelS
     
 CST    
   
 NYSE    S
 12330
  1-16
  1030
 new
 + 3.6
  + 3.1
  ~ 26
 Z & T
 NASX    S
   7298
  1-16
  1030
 new
 + 4.7
  + 5.0
  ~ 38
 Z & T










 SPY    S 
   278.95
  1-16
  1030
 new  + 4.1
 + 3.3
   ~ 26
 Z & T
 VEU    S
    57.35
 1-16
  1030
 new
 + 4.0
 + 3.0
   ~ 27
 Z & T










 UUP
   S
    24.43
 12-13
  1030

 +  1.3
      0

 Z & T
 
 

 






 GLD
   B
  118.30
 12-13
 1030

 + 2.7
      0
  ~ 32
 X,Z,T










 USO    S
   11.78
  1-16
 1030
 new
 + 2.9
   + 2.9
  ~ 58
 X,Z,T










 TLT    B
 124.82
 1-16
  1030
 new
 + 1.3
  + 0.6
   ~ 15
 Z & T