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Schulz on Market Cycles

ETF Astrological & Technical Timing

Home of the TAO                                   Global Astrological  & Technical Stock Market Timing
                        Technical Astrological Oscillator                                                                                        Richard F. Schulz
                                       (TAO 2, for Global Stock Markets.    TAOg, for Gold, Euro, Oil.)

ETF's:   Global Indexes, Stock Sectors, Gold, Bond, Currency, Oil, Agriculture, Commodity, and Interest Rate Analysis

       SOMC utilizes multiple mathematically created astrological oscillators (TAO--Stocks/ETF's and TAOg--Gold) and technical stock market cycle analysis, combined with a global perspective and 25 years of trading experience, to time and trade STOCK, GOLD, bond, currency, oil, agricultural and other ETF's profitably. The SOMC trading results, using a balanced yet dynamic ETF Portfolio, are posted on this and the Notes pages. SOMC has two primary purposes:
    1) To demonstrate the mathematical and scientific nature of the TAO 2
    2) To use the TAO 2 with technical market analysis and the ETF Portfolio to time trades effectively

WHAT the TAO 2 IS: (updated 10/19)

The TAO 2 is a technical aspect oscillator, (100% mathematical in nature, astrological in its implications) and correlates with the SP 500, the DOW and other global stock indices, to greater than 1:10,000 against chance. The TAO 2 is theorized to be a Global Psychological Indicator. One of its many applications has been to track the rise and fall of global stock market (ETF) prices.
It is strictly mathematical: planetary values into the TAO formulae, and the TAO 2 numbers out. Therefore, it is an objective oscillator, with multiple potential applications. To the best of my knowledge, from Donald Bradley's efforts in the 1960's to the present time, there has not been a published astrological oscillator that correlates real-time with global stock indices as the TAO 2 does. The study of the mathematical nature of the TAO 2 and its correlations with human activities has the potential to become a new field of scientific endeavor.

HOW SOMC APPLIES the TAO 2:

The three TAO values (short, intermediate, and long term) and trends have statistical reliability and significance, and, therefore, probable predictive value relative to global stock prices. The creation of the TAO 2 has been a 25+ year project. The graphs of the TAO 2 are shown from 1/1/1999 through 12/31/08.
The rise and fall of global psychological optimism and pessimism correlate with the rise and fall of global wealth, as measured by stock prices. When the TAO 2 is below zero and falling, fear and pessimism dominate, manifesting in stock market declines. When the TAO 2 is above zero and rising, happiness and optimism dominate, manifesting in rising stock market prices. I combine the TAO 2's intrinsic value with 25+ years of technical market analysis and developing technical trading systems to time the price movements of the stock and commodity markets effectively.
The SOMC ETF Portfolio is a balanced selection of Global Stock Indices and specific major individual sectors that creates significant trading opportunities with reduced risk. On this and the Notes pages are the results of 2+ years of real-time trading using the TAO 2 and technical market timing systems.

On 11/3/08 the ETF Portfolio went into contract only. SOMC works with those who prioritize the environment and scientific endeavors.

    Sector 1 has the Global Indices that trend best with the TAO psychology and cover the globe, primarily spy and efa, with the addition of one flex ETF. Sector 2 has global market sectors that also trend with the TAO, with more variance, including, but not limited to, xlf, xlk, iyr, iyt, pbw. And Sector 3 usually focuses on inflation-related ETF's, including, but not limited to, gld, slv, oil, ung, rji, rja, dba, pbw, ewa, ewc, ewz. The first eight Sector 3 ETF's are directly commodity related.   Countries that have significant commodity exposure are ewa, ewc, and ewz. GLD happens to correlate very well with FXE (Euro) and opposite the US Dollar index, and therefore is useful for currency trading. (TAOg (for gold), is under development).                  The last typical Porfolio had: 1) spy, efa, iwn, 2) efu, xly, iyt, and 3) efa, gld.   There are many variations on the theme.
    The TAO 2 is a component of the technical trading models that have been created. Statistically, using the TAO 2 benefits trading results. However, it is important to note that the TAO 2 is only one technical tool among many. The stock markets have in the past trended against the TAO 2 direction for extended and indeterminant periods of time.
    SOMC utilizes relatively complex mechanical models to time and trade short and intermediate term. With the introduction of the 10/16 MT3MM1 trade, the published trades are now intermediate (days to weeks, usually) term. Mechanical models have the advantage of eliminating subjectivity. The T3MM1 models  have parameters that include current market volatility. The LT2MM1 (Long TAO 2 mechanical model) and its results are published on the LT2MM1 page. On 1/2/2008, The LT2MM1 leveraged short the SP 500 index at 1447. and is still holding that trade.

SOMC's Focus:

On my 58th birthday, I reflected back on the gift of life, and being thankful for all I have been given. I have always loved numbers and the sky. 1973 introduced me to many of my astrological interests. SOMC was born 5/5/06, and has transformed from its early newsletter days to this website.

SOMC is providing several, real-time services.

1. Displaying theTAO 2 graphs and functions
2. Correlating of the TAO 2 with a broad spectrum of global ETF's
3. Giving Technical market analysis & timing
4. Developing the SOMC ETF Portfolio
5. Timing the global ETF Portfolio using the TAO 2 and technical market analysis
6. Demonstrating real-time profitability using the TAO 2 combined with technical market timing systems, while simultaneously reducing risk, via the SOMC ETF Portfolio during challenging stock market conditions.
7. Evolving a new field of scientific study with the TAO 2 as a global psychological indicator.
8. Incorporating feedback from viewers on features to add, and improvements to be made on SOMC--a joint endeavor.
9. Analyzing Financial and other news with a global perspective.
10. Sharing some of the fundamentals to be incorporated in the book that I will write on the TAO 2, its global psychological interactions and implications, and how it relates with global equities and human/Earth events.

Nov 21, 2008                 (all times are CST)

See Notes:   0700

1000: A trade possible...amidst an imminent global depression, the djia on its way to fulfilling its dinosaur role, the US autos becoming nationalized, drug companies overdosing, the Hedge losing its edge,...a trade...possible...

1030: Not that long ago, Standard and Poor-me had a buy/hold on Citigroup when it was 50.00+
The ratings agencies are a travesty.
As Jim Grant said, "This is a scandal..." of the greatest proportions...why aren't the heads of Moody's, Standard & Poors, Fitch, etc., on trial?...maybe because they give money to those who would try them...earnings?...what earnings?...fair value?...based on what...positive GDP for countries?...not any time soon as far as somc can tell. By simple methodologies it is possible for everyone to earn money in this and every economic environment.

1500: somc wrote positively about Tim Geithner (and Volcker) over the last few weeks, and now he is soon to be the Treasury Secretary--excellent...
not a panacea, of course, but at least hope...

11/18:   TAO 2 2009 Graphs for sale soon.

11/10:    SOMC TAO 2 bias now Short,
the statistics favoring selling...

Announcement: (also see Notes)
11/5/08: As per contract, only spy, efa and gld will be tracked real-time, with a minimum of a 2hr delay
        Contact: richardschulz12@yahoo.com
                  847-680-8206
                      6300 Eagle Ridge Dr.
                  Gurnee, IL 60031

Today's Trades: 1230,Buy SPY, EFA, to reverse

SOMC Portfolio:   11/ 21 /08

MT3MM1 Positions

ETF   B/S   OPEN    Date/Time

SPY     B1    75.84    11/21 1230
EFA     B1    36.74    11/21 1230
GLD     B1    69.58    11/13 1230

SOMC Closed Trades:    11/ 21

ETF    B/S    OPEN   B/S   CLOSE    +/-- %

SPY     S1     89.67     B1     75.84     +15.4
EFA     S1     41.84     B1     36.74     +12.2

Results:       ETF Portfolio.........+ 270.8%

From 5/ 5/ 06 through  11/ 21/ 08:

Sector 1:     SPY         + 281.8%
Sector 2:     EFA         + 275.7%
Sector 3: GLD         + 255.1%

CONTACT:      richardschulz12@yahoo.com

Richard Frank Schulz 07/09/1950, 1510 est, Detroit, Michigan.

Disclaimer:
SOMC tries to ensure that the information provided is complete and correct, but does not warranty its accuracy or reliability. Information and opinions may change without notice, so readers are advised to check any material items(s) with an adviser before making any decisions. SOMC is for information purposes only, and does not constitute any kind of investment advice. It should also be noted that simulated performance is not a guide to future performance. Neither is past performance a necessarily reliable indicator of future performance. No return of capital is implied or guaranteed. There is a risk of loss of capital whenever money is invested, and we do not hold ourselves responsible for your stock trading or investing decisions. All intellectual property rights in SOMC and website are, and at all times remain, the property of Richard Frank Schulz.  The content of Schulz on Market Cycles (in particular, the TAO 2, future generations of the TAO, the TAOscope, TAOgraph, TAOtransits, TAOtrader, and other TAO products), are protected by copyright. The reproduction or duplication of information or data, especially the use of terms, wording, figures or graphs, is subject to prior approval of Richard Frank Schulz.